05/19/2012

Obama’s American Jobs Act – he just doesn’t get it!

Barack ObamaTry as I may to back the President (after all, I voted for him),  I just can’t believe that after this amount of time in office, he still has no clue as to how to stimulate the economy and create long-term jobs. Last night’s “jobs plan” was a watered down rehash of his early fiscal stimulus plan which would do nothing to create new permanent jobs.

His $447 billion “jobs plan” was nothing more than a “feel good re-election campaign kickoff fund” to be paid by the tax payers on borrowed money.  To anyone who doubts this, just follow his travel over the next few months as he “promotes” his plan. It is a thinly veiled campaign tour paid by credit at the taxpayer’s expense. He will use the tour to criticize Republicans incessantly.

Maybe it’s not his fault. Maybe it’s due to the academics and lackeys that surround him, but last evening’s speech to the joint session of Congress was a total disaster. Even First Lady Michelle Obama looked noticeably distraught during the presentation (although we have yet to see any reporting on this).

Borrow and spend, repeat.

His expressionless cabinet looked like they were watching a fool.  They didn’t see leadership, knowledge, or commitment. They saw desperation as the President barked out new spins of old ideas. He quoted other Presidents and acted angry, but said nothing notable himself. He began by saying all of this would be paid for, but ended with no details on how. Borrow and spend, repeat.

The President kept saying that Republicans voted for this and that in some weak attempt to convince us that these are reasonable ideas or put pressure on the Republican members to support this plan. Really? Is that the best you have Mr. President?

Well, lets look at the plan:

Academic and Keynesian “old thinking” influence

  • Build infrastructure – like FDR did – a textbook example
  • Put money into people’s hands via tax cuts and they’ll spend it to stimulate the economy – another textbook example

The problem with these approaches are twofold:

  1. Both approaches are temporary and transitory. That is, once the money runs out, the “jobs” effect stops. See the last “stimulus plan” for an example. The temporary tax rebates are ineffective. No one can plan on receiving these in the future, so they are used as a one time “perk,” not to upgrade a home or purchase a car.
  2. Both approaches temporarily put money into people’s pockets but do not address the fact that our economy has changed since FDR’s time. We don’t buy American made goods for the most part. Tax rebates and temporary job pay are spent on computers, TVs, or to pay down consumer debt. This helps out China manufacturers and the banks, but does nothing for creating new jobs in the USA. Retailers won’t hire permanent employees because they sold a few more TVs or laptops this year.

Unions

We know Obama is pandering to the unions and trying to appease them for their support in the next election, but his latest proposal is just another blatant attempt direct your “borrowed” money to unions.

  • Money for public works projects = union pocketbooks
  • Money for teachers = union pocketbooks
  • Money for local and state governments = union pocketbooks
  • Infrastructure Bank = another huge government bureaucracy filled with unionized civil servants.

What about you and me? If we’re not in a union, where is our job plan?

Infrastructure Bank

The President proposed yet another new Washington based government SPENDING agency. (As if Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac weren’t losing enough money). I’m sure the voters in Philadelphia, Cleveland, Phoenix and Sacramento are just jumping for joy about borrowing more money to pay for this.

Payroll Tax Cuts and Personal Tax Cuts

This is the biggest problem with today’s Keynesian economists as well as the President’s plan. While we all agree that PERMANENT tax cuts are good and will help stimulate the economy and jobs, the fact is that TEMPORARY tax cuts do nothing for job growth.

Most politicians and academics can’t understand this simple fact. Maybe because they have no business experience or they’ve never done a 5 year business plan. They just don’t know what motivates businesses.

No business will make an investment or hire people based upon a tax cut which may expire in a year or two. Imagine a 5 year business plan that shows profitability in year 1, but no plan for profits in years 2 through 5. Who would borrow money and invest in this plan? Would you?

Likewise, no individual will make a long-term purchasing commitment based upon a rebate that may or may not arrive next year. They won’t buy a new car or a new home on payments without a reasonable expectation of receiving that money for many, many years. Common sense.

Wrap up: Economic Suicide

Perhaps the best description of the President’s latest plan came from David Stockman, former director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Ronald Reagan.

“This should scare the living daylights out of investors–it’s just more Keynesian poison,” said Stockman. “The money will go through the economy in a flash and leave nothing behind except a half-trillion dollars of more debt to our children.”

I was actually cheering for the President and hopeful that this speech would help our country economically, but I am truly amazed that this is the best plan he could muster.

President Obama is staring into an economic abyss and his best plan after 3 years is to spend more borrowed money on outdated and ineffective policies to save us. Worst than that, most of these same elements were in his $900 billion “stimulus plan” which did not work.

The President needs some new advisors and new ideas, and he needs them fast.

Obama’s $500M Incompetent Solyndra Mistake – What he could have done

solyndra corporation fremontThe recent bankruptcy of Solyndra poses a real problem for President Obama. It has exposed the President’s achilles heel, that is, no business experience.

In early 2009, the solar panel maker Solyndra was awarded a $535 million loan guarantee by the Department of Energy. At that time, President Obama made a special appearance at Solyndra’s new factory in Fremont, CA.

But let’s be clear about this, this was not some guarantee to the banks loaning the money to Solyndra. This was a $535 million dollar payment of taxpayer money directly to Solyndra.

To make matters worse, at the time of the loan, Solyndra was losing money AND their technology was not competitive with existing solar panels.

The Obama administration is trying to blame this on low cost panels from China ruining our competitiveness, but the reality is that Solyndra’s technology was more expensive and was ALWAYS projected to be.

This was crystal clear to anyone with minimal business training at the time of the loan. This company would never make money. The cost for Solyndra’s technology to make one watt of electricity had always cost more than conventional solar panels, and always would.

Would you pay more for electricity generation just to use Solyndra technology? Of course not. That is why Solyndra went bankrupt. This simple fact would have been evident to the Obama administration at the time of the loan if any of them had ever worked in industry or had bothered to check the company out.

Instead President Obama jumped on the “Green jobs” bandwagon and wasted $500 million dollars of your money to get a photo opportunity.

What could he have done?

How about using that $500M to seed 10,000 start up companies with a $50,000 seed grant instead?

That’s 10,000 new companies which could be doing everything from technology to manufacturing to services.

After 1 year and a half on this program, some startups would surely fail, but you would still have thousands of new companies and millions of more jobs. Instead they have a company in bankruptcy and all the money gone. 

The Future

The Obama administration is now planning to spend billions more of your money to reduce the interest rate on outstanding mortgages in an attempt to stimulate the housing market and the economy.  

This will fail as well. Why? Because it SPENDS money without creating anything. It lowers costs, and gives people a bit more to SPEND, but no one is CREATING anything. That is why it is a SPENDING program, not an INVESTMENT.

What Obama needs to do

Create a $1 billion startup INVESTMENT fund and let me administer it with no red tape or bureaucracy or debate. A iind of startup INVESTMENT Czar.

What the Obama administration needs is someone who has worked in industry and knows how to grow businesses quickly.

In one year, we’ll have thousands of new companies and millions of new jobs. That will do more to help the housing market and economy than anything the Obama administration has on the drawing board.

Time for a change.